Portugal vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
36.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
FRA
3 - 2
POR
59%
19%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
POR
2 - 4
SUI
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1938 |
SUI
1 - 0
POR
52%
20%
27%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1938 |
SUI
2 - 1
POR
50%
21%
29%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
GER
1 - 1
POR
74%
14%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1936 |
SUI
0 - 2
ESP
41%
22%
37%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
CSK
1 - 0
ESP
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1936 |
ESP
1 - 2
GER
60%
19%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1936 |
ESP
4 - 5
AUT
53%
20%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
GER
1 - 2
ESP
58%
20%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |