Portugal vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
BGR
1 - 0
POR
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
POR
2 - 1
NOR
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1967 |
NOR
1 - 2
POR
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1967 |
SWE
1 - 1
POR
73%
16%
11%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1967 |
ITA
1 - 1
POR
81%
12%
7%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
BGR
1 - 0
POR
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1967 |
BGR
3 - 0
TUR
74%
15%
11%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
BGR
3 - 0
SWE
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1967 |
TUR
2 - 3
BGR
31%
22%
47%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
BGR
1 - 2
SUN
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |