EC Qualifying Clasificación Final
Global 4-4
Portugal vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1962 |
BGR
3 - 1
POR
61%
19%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1962 |
POR
1 - 2
BEL
53%
20%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1962 |
BRA
1 - 0
POR
89%
8%
3%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1962 |
BRA
2 - 1
POR
88%
8%
4%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1961 |
ENG
2 - 0
POR
91%
6%
3%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
BGR
1 - 1
AUT
41%
23%
35%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1962 |
BGR
3 - 1
POR
61%
19%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
BGR
2 - 1
POL
56%
21%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1962 |
ENG
0 - 0
BGR
92%
6%
3%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
HUN
6 - 1
BGR
91%
6%
3%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |