Portugal vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2000 |
ROU
0 - 1
POR
42%
26%
33%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2000 |
POR
3 - 2
ENG
21%
26%
54%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2000 |
POR
3 - 0
WAL
65%
22%
13%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
ITA
2 - 0
POR
64%
23%
14%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
POR
2 - 1
DEN
45%
28%
27%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2000 |
ENG
1 - 0
GER
56%
24%
20%
|
95 | 98 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2000 |
GER
1 - 1
ROU
63%
19%
17%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2000 |
GER
8 - 2
LIE
97%
3%
0%
|
95 | 11 | 84 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
GER
3 - 2
CZE
81%
13%
7%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
GER
1 - 1
SUI
71%
18%
11%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |