Poland vs Switzerland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1939 |
POL
3 - 3
BEL
71%
15%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
FRA
4 - 0
POL
51%
20%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1938 |
IRL
3 - 2
POL
58%
19%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
POL
2 - 2
NOR
53%
20%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
POL
4 - 4
YUG
70%
16%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 2
SUI
53%
20%
27%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1939 |
SUI
2 - 1
NED
44%
21%
36%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
SUI
3 - 1
HUN
35%
21%
44%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
POR
2 - 4
SUI
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1938 |
ITA
2 - 0
SUI
82%
11%
7%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |