Poland vs San Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.1%
Win probability
3.66
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.7%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
6.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.4%
5-0
10.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
+5
12.5%
4-0
14.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.7%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
4.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
4.7%
1.1%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1993 |
POL
2 - 1
FIN
74%
18%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1993 |
POL
1 - 1
LTU
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1993 |
BRA
2 - 2
POL
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1993 |
ISR
0 - 0
POL
31%
28%
41%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1993 |
CYP
0 - 0
POL
10%
18%
72%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1993 |
NED
6 - 0
SMR
94%
5%
1%
|
56 | 92 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
SMR
0 - 0
TUR
25%
23%
52%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1993 |
ENG
6 - 0
SMR
95%
5%
1%
|
56 | 95 | 39 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1992 |
TUR
4 - 1
SMR
81%
13%
7%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
SMR
0 - 2
NOR
15%
22%
63%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |