Poland vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
CRO
0 - 1
POL
49%
25%
25%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2006 |
POL
1 - 2
COL
55%
25%
20%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
POL
4 - 0
FRO
81%
14%
5%
|
91 | 56 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2006 |
POL
0 - 1
LTU
80%
15%
6%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
KSA
1 - 2
POL
27%
26%
47%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2006 |
MKD
2 - 1
ECU
30%
29%
41%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
ECU
1 - 1
COL
41%
29%
30%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2006 |
JPN
1 - 0
ECU
60%
24%
16%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
NED
1 - 0
ECU
78%
16%
7%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2006 |
ECU
1 - 0
HND
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |