Poland vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
POL
1 - 3
POR
26%
24%
50%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 0
POL
52%
23%
25%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SCO
2 - 3
POL
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 1
POL
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
POL
1 - 3
AUT
44%
24%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 1
SCO
66%
20%
14%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 0
POL
52%
23%
25%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
CRO
60%
21%
19%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 1
ITA
38%
25%
37%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 2
ALB
81%
14%
5%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |