WC Qual. Europe round 2

Poland vs Belarus analysis

Poland Belarus
89 ELO 72
-6.9% Tilt 6.8%
104º General ELO ranking 1412º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
87.5%
Poland
9.5%
Draw
3%
Belarus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
Poland
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3%
Win probability
Belarus
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Poland
-2%
-14%
Belarus

ELO progression

Poland
Belarus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Poland
Poland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2000
UKR
Ukraine
1 - 3
Poland
POL
34%
25%
42%
89 84 5 0
16 Aug. 2000
ROU
Romania
1 - 1
Poland
POL
60%
22%
18%
89 92 3 0
04 Jun. 2000
NED
Netherlands
3 - 1
Poland
POL
74%
17%
9%
89 97 8 0
26 Apr. 2000
POL
Poland
0 - 0
Finland
FIN
72%
19%
10%
89 78 11 0
29 Mar. 2000
HUN
Hungary
0 - 0
Poland
POL
38%
27%
36%
89 86 3 0

Matches

Belarus
Belarus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2000
BLR
Belarus
2 - 1
Wales
WAL
16%
22%
62%
71 85 14 0
16 Aug. 2000
LVA
Latvia
0 - 1
Belarus
BLR
51%
25%
24%
70 70 0 +1
04 Jun. 2000
EST
Estonia
2 - 0
Belarus
BLR
36%
26%
38%
71 61 10 -1
26 Apr. 2000
AND
Andorra
2 - 0
Belarus
BLR
26%
25%
49%
72 56 16 -1
29 Mar. 2000
BGR
Bulgaria
4 - 1
Belarus
BLR
86%
10%
4%
72 87 15 0
X