Poland vs Andorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
POL
1 - 0
SVK
63%
22%
16%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2012 |
POL
1 - 0
LVA
78%
16%
7%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
POL
0 - 0
POR
27%
26%
47%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
POL
1 - 0
BIH
68%
19%
12%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
POL
2 - 1
HUN
58%
23%
20%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Andorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2012 |
AZE
0 - 0
AND
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
RUS
6 - 0
AND
81%
15%
5%
|
45 | 91 | 46 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
AND
0 - 2
IRL
12%
24%
64%
|
45 | 92 | 47 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
MKD
1 - 0
AND
81%
14%
5%
|
45 | 80 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
AND
0 - 3
ARM
20%
25%
56%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | -1 |