Peru vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
BRA
4 - 0
PER
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PER
1 - 0
URU
25%
26%
49%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
ECU
1 - 0
PER
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
COL
25%
27%
48%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 0
PER
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
COL
4 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 2
BRA
16%
21%
64%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 2
BOL
71%
17%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ARG
3 - 0
CHI
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 0
CHI
34%
25%
41%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |