Paraguay vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
ECU
1 - 2
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1979 |
PAR
2 - 0
BOL
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1979 |
BOL
1 - 1
PAR
31%
23%
46%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1979 |
BOL
3 - 1
PAR
28%
23%
49%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1979 |
BRA
6 - 0
PAR
82%
14%
4%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
ECU
2 - 1
URU
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
ECU
1 - 2
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1979 |
ECU
2 - 1
PER
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 1979 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
80%
13%
7%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1979 |
ECU
2 - 1
CHI
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +1 |