Paraguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1919 |
PAR
0 - 3
ARG
48%
23%
29%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1919 |
PAR
1 - 5
ARG
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1919 |
BRA
3 - 1
ARG
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1919 |
PAR
0 - 3
ARG
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1919 |
ARG
2 - 3
URU
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1919 |
PAR
1 - 5
ARG
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1918 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |