Nigeria vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
11.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
DZA
2 - 5
NGA
31%
29%
40%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
LBY
0 - 1
NGA
29%
29%
42%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
NGA
1 - 1
AGO
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
RWA
1 - 1
NGA
11%
23%
67%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
NGA
2 - 0
GAB
71%
19%
10%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
ZWE
3 - 1
RWA
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ZWE
0 - 0
MOZ
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
ZWE
1 - 0
ZMB
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
ZWE
2 - 1
AGO
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
DZA
2 - 2
ZWE
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |