Nigeria vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
16.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 1
NGA
18%
23%
59%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
NGA
1 - 0
LBY
73%
18%
8%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
RWA
0 - 0
NGA
14%
22%
64%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NGA
3 - 0
BEN
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 1
NGA
18%
23%
59%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
RWA
0 - 1
LBY
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
RWA
3 - 0
DJI
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
DJI
1 - 0
RWA
14%
20%
67%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
RWA
2 - 1
BEN
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
BEN
3 - 0
RWA
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |