Nepal vs UAE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
75.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
ENG
2 - 0
NPL
13%
17%
70%
|
33 | 7 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
BHR
3 - 0
NPL
86%
11%
3%
|
33 | 73 | 40 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
NPL
0 - 5
BHR
8%
19%
74%
|
33 | 73 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
MAS
5 - 1
NPL
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
NPL
0 - 2
YEM
22%
24%
55%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
UAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
YEM
0 - 3
UAE
9%
19%
72%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
UAE
2 - 1
YEM
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TJK
1 - 1
UAE
20%
24%
56%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
IRN
2 - 1
UAE
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
PLE
1 - 1
UAE
18%
23%
59%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |