Nepal vs Chinese Taipei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
52.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
IRQ
6 - 2
NPL
83%
14%
3%
|
35 | 80 | 45 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NPL
0 - 0
BGD
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
BGD
0 - 0
NPL
42%
25%
34%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
BGD
2 - 0
NPL
36%
25%
40%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
NPL
0 - 1
KWT
5%
15%
80%
|
37 | 74 | 37 | -1 |
Matches
Chinese Taipei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
JOR
5 - 0
TWN
78%
16%
6%
|
39 | 73 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
KWT
9 - 0
TWN
86%
11%
4%
|
39 | 74 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
TWN
1 - 7
AUS
6%
17%
77%
|
39 | 86 | 47 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
TWN
0 - 2
NPL
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
TWN
1 - 2
JOR
9%
17%
74%
|
41 | 73 | 32 | 0 |