Mozambique vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
MAD
1 - 1
MOZ
26%
23%
52%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
MOZ
1 - 2
BOT
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
CIV
1 - 0
MOZ
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
MOZ
2 - 3
LSO
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
RSA
2 - 0
MOZ
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
MAD
1 - 1
MOZ
26%
23%
52%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
MAD
0 - 0
CIV
5%
16%
79%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
BOT
0 - 0
MAD
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MUS
1 - 2
MAD
48%
24%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
COM
0 - 4
MAD
17%
23%
60%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | +1 |