UEFA Nations League Liga D round 1

Moldova vs Malta analysis

Moldova Malta
54 ELO 49
1.8% Tilt -14.3%
3466º General ELO ranking 4012º
11º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
53.2%
Moldova
22.7%
Draw
24.1%
Malta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
Moldova
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.1%
Win probability
Malta
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Moldova
+33%
+10%
Malta

ELO progression

Moldova
Malta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Moldova
Moldova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 2024
MDA
Moldova
0 - 4
Ukraine
UKR
7%
17%
75%
53 87 34 0
08 Jun. 2024
MDA
Moldova
3 - 2
Cyprus
CYP
33%
24%
44%
52 57 5 +1
26 Mar. 2024
CYM
Cayman Islands
0 - 4
Moldova
MDA
12%
21%
67%
52 26 26 0
22 Mar. 2024
MKD
North Macedonia
1 - 1
Moldova
MDA
80%
14%
6%
52 75 23 0
20 Nov. 2023
CZE
Czech Republic
3 - 0
Moldova
MDA
90%
8%
2%
52 86 34 0

Matches

Malta
Malta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 2024
GRC
Greece
2 - 0
Malta
MLT
78%
17%
6%
50 84 34 0
07 Jun. 2024
CZE
Czech Republic
7 - 1
Malta
MLT
86%
10%
3%
51 86 35 -1
26 Mar. 2024
MLT
Malta
0 - 0
Belarus
BLR
20%
23%
57%
50 68 18 +1
21 Mar. 2024
MLT
Malta
2 - 2
Slovenia
SVN
14%
23%
64%
50 81 31 0
17 Nov. 2023
ENG
England
2 - 0
Malta
MLT
90%
8%
2%
50 94 44 0