Moldova vs Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
GER
6 - 1
MDA
93%
5%
1%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
WAL
1 - 0
MDA
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
MDA
2 - 3
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
MDA
0 - 3
BGR
25%
25%
51%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
ALB
3 - 0
MDA
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
GEO
2 - 1
BGR
23%
25%
52%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
GER
4 - 1
GEO
93%
6%
2%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
WAL
0 - 1
GEO
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
GEO
2 - 0
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
GEO
0 - 2
GER
18%
25%
58%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |