Mauritania vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1980 |
GUI
2 - 0
MTN
86%
9%
5%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
GAM
2 - 2
MTN
73%
15%
12%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1980 |
SEN
2 - 1
MTN
71%
16%
14%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1980 |
MTN
1 - 0
MLI
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 65 | 30 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1979 |
MLI
4 - 2
MTN
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 65 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1980 |
SEN
0 - 1
MAR
37%
24%
39%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1980 |
SEN
1 - 0
GUI
49%
22%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
SEN
0 - 2
TUN
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1980 |
GAM
0 - 1
SEN
59%
20%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
SEN
2 - 1
GUI
46%
22%
32%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |