CAF Qualifying Grupo B round 3

Morocco vs Central African Republic analysis

Morocco Central African Republic
88 ELO 43
-6.6% Tilt -7.3%
95º General ELO ranking 5665º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
94%
Morocco
5.2%
Draw
0.8%
Central African Republic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94%
Win probability
Morocco
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.2%
+7
2.8%
6-0
5.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
10.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
<0%
+5
11.1%
4-0
15.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
17.2%
3-0
18.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.3%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.2%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.4%
5.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
1.8%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
5.2%
0.8%
Win probability
Central African Republic
0.18
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
0.7%
0-2
0.1%
-2
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Morocco
-5%
+50%
Central African Republic

ELO progression

Morocco
Central African Republic
Gabon
Lesotho
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Morocco
Morocco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2024
LSO
Lesotho
0 - 1
Morocco
MAR
6%
18%
77%
88 51 37 0
06 Sep. 2024
MAR
Morocco
4 - 1
Gabon
GAB
72%
18%
10%
87 66 21 +1
11 Jun. 2024
CGO
Congo
0 - 6
Morocco
MAR
10%
22%
68%
87 61 26 0
07 Jun. 2024
MAR
Morocco
2 - 1
Zambia
ZAM
71%
19%
10%
87 72 15 0
26 Mar. 2024
MAR
Morocco
0 - 0
Mauritania
MTN
80%
15%
6%
87 64 23 0

Matches

Central African Republic
Central African Republic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2024
GAB
Gabon
2 - 0
Central African Republic
CTA
60%
22%
19%
44 66 22 0
05 Sep. 2024
CTA
Central African Republic
3 - 1
Lesotho
LSO
21%
22%
58%
42 52 10 +2
10 Jun. 2024
GHA
Ghana
4 - 3
Central African Republic
CTA
86%
11%
3%
43 79 36 -1
05 Jun. 2024
CTA
Central African Republic
1 - 0
Chad
CHA
32%
25%
44%
41 46 5 +2
25 Mar. 2024
CTA
Central African Republic
4 - 0
Papua New Guinea
PNG
43%
24%
34%
40 36 4 +1