Morocco vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
11.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
QAT
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
RUS
2 - 0
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
AGO
2 - 0
MAR
29%
29%
42%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 0
MOZ
74%
18%
8%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
GAB
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
RWA
3 - 0
LBY
23%
28%
49%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LBY
0 - 0
RWA
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
LBY
0 - 0
GHA
25%
28%
47%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
ZWE
0 - 0
LBY
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GAB
1 - 1
LBY
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |