Malta vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
48.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
TUR
2 - 1
MLT
67%
18%
16%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
MLT
0 - 0
BRD
4%
14%
82%
|
57 | 93 | 36 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
WLS
7 - 0
MLT
76%
15%
9%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
LBY
1 - 0
MLT
56%
20%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
MLT
0 - 3
TUR
34%
24%
42%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1979 |
NIR
1 - 1
WLS
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1979 |
ENG
0 - 0
WLS
84%
12%
4%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
WLS
3 - 0
SCT
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
WLS
0 - 2
BRD
19%
26%
56%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
WLS
1 - 0
TUR
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |