UEFA Nations League Liga D round 1

Luxembourg vs Moldova analysis

Luxembourg Moldova
51 ELO 56
2.4% Tilt 13%
2226º General ELO ranking 3466º
11º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
31.8%
Luxembourg
26.1%
Draw
42.1%
Moldova

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
Luxembourg
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
42.1%
Win probability
Moldova
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luxembourg
+26%
+40%
Moldova

ELO progression

Luxembourg
Moldova
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luxembourg
Luxembourg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jun. 2018
LUX
Luxembourg
1 - 0
Georgia
GEO
12%
18%
70%
48 72 24 0
31 May. 2018
LUX
Luxembourg
0 - 0
Senegal
SEN
10%
21%
69%
48 82 34 0
31 Mar. 2018
LUX
Luxembourg
0 - 0
Senegal
SEN
9%
19%
72%
47 82 35 +1
27 Mar. 2018
LUX
Luxembourg
0 - 4
Austria
AUT
5%
12%
83%
48 84 36 -1
22 Mar. 2018
MLT
Malta
0 - 1
Luxembourg
LUX
44%
24%
32%
47 46 1 +1

Matches

Moldova
Moldova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jun. 2018
ARM
Armenia
0 - 0
Moldova
MDA
71%
18%
11%
57 68 11 0
27 Mar. 2018
CIV
Ivory Coast
2 - 1
Moldova
MDA
81%
14%
5%
57 84 27 0
26 Feb. 2018
KSA
Saudi Arabia
3 - 0
Moldova
MDA
74%
18%
8%
58 78 20 -1
30 Jan. 2018
AZE
Azerbaijan
0 - 0
Moldova
MDA
45%
27%
28%
58 62 4 0
27 Jan. 2018
KOR
South Korea
1 - 0
Moldova
MDA
80%
15%
5%
58 87 29 0