Lithuania vs Indonesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1996 |
BRA
3 - 1
LTU
97%
3%
1%
|
73 | 98 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
LTU
2 - 1
LIE
85%
12%
3%
|
73 | 10 | 63 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
LTU
2 - 0
ISL
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
ROU
3 - 0
LTU
89%
8%
3%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1996 |
UKR
5 - 2
LTU
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1996 |
IDN
1 - 2
MDA
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
VIE
3 - 2
IDN
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1996 |
MAS
3 - 1
IDN
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1996 |
IDN
1 - 1
VIE
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1996 |
IDN
6 - 1
MMR
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +2 |