WC Qual. Europe round 3

Liechtenstein vs Latvia analysis

Liechtenstein Latvia
17 ELO 73
12.5% Tilt 12.5%
10930º General ELO ranking 3119º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
6.3%
Liechtenstein
15.1%
Draw
78.6%
Latvia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.3%
Win probability
Liechtenstein
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
78.6%
Win probability
Latvia
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.2%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
-4
9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Liechtenstein
-6%
-17%
Latvia

ELO progression

Liechtenstein
Latvia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Liechtenstein
Liechtenstein
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2004
LUX
Luxembourg
0 - 4
Liechtenstein
LIE
82%
11%
7%
15 36 21 0
09 Oct. 2004
LIE
Liechtenstein
2 - 2
Portugal
POR
5%
17%
77%
15 96 81 0
08 Sep. 2004
SVK
Slovakia
7 - 0
Liechtenstein
LIE
89%
9%
2%
15 84 69 0
03 Sep. 2004
NED
Netherlands
3 - 0
Liechtenstein
LIE
95%
4%
0%
15 97 82 0
18 Aug. 2004
LIE
Liechtenstein
1 - 2
Estonia
EST
7%
16%
77%
15 69 54 0

Matches

Latvia
Latvia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2004
LVA
Latvia
2 - 2
Estonia
EST
52%
24%
24%
73 68 5 0
09 Oct. 2004
SVK
Slovakia
4 - 1
Latvia
LVA
69%
19%
12%
74 84 10 -1
08 Sep. 2004
LUX
Luxembourg
3 - 4
Latvia
LVA
17%
23%
59%
74 36 38 0
04 Sep. 2004
LVA
Latvia
0 - 2
Portugal
POR
14%
26%
61%
74 96 22 0
18 Aug. 2004
LVA
Latvia
0 - 2
Wales
WAL
26%
28%
47%
74 87 13 0