EC Qualifying Grupo J round 2

Liechtenstein vs Iceland analysis

Liechtenstein Iceland
25 ELO 76
12.4% Tilt 9.1%
10809º General ELO ranking 602º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
5%
Liechtenstein
12.9%
Draw
82.1%
Iceland

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5%
Win probability
Liechtenstein
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
82.1%
Win probability
Iceland
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
16%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
13.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Liechtenstein
+1%
-3%
Iceland

ELO progression

Liechtenstein
Iceland
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Liechtenstein
Liechtenstein
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2023
POR
Portugal
4 - 0
Liechtenstein
LIE
90%
8%
2%
25 93 68 0
16 Nov. 2022
GIB
Gibraltar
2 - 0
Liechtenstein
LIE
70%
16%
14%
26 39 13 -1
25 Sep. 2022
MDA
Moldova
2 - 0
Liechtenstein
LIE
84%
12%
4%
26 49 23 0
22 Sep. 2022
LIE
Liechtenstein
0 - 2
Andorra
AND
26%
24%
51%
27 39 12 -1
14 Jun. 2022
LIE
Liechtenstein
0 - 2
Latvia
LVA
10%
19%
71%
28 58 30 -1

Matches

Iceland
Iceland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2023
BIH
Bosnia
3 - 0
Iceland
ISL
56%
23%
21%
76 82 6 0
12 Jan. 2023
SWE
Sweden
2 - 1
Iceland
ISL
70%
19%
12%
77 88 11 -1
08 Jan. 2023
ISL
Iceland
1 - 1
Estonia
EST
70%
19%
11%
77 64 13 0
11 Nov. 2022
KOR
South Korea
1 - 0
Iceland
ISL
73%
17%
10%
77 88 11 0
06 Nov. 2022
ISL
Iceland
0 - 1
Saudi Arabia
KSA
37%
26%
36%
77 81 4 0