Liechtenstein vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.1%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.5%
77.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
19.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
26.9%
0-2
19.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24.1%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
TUR
5 - 0
LIE
97%
3%
1%
|
12 | 88 | 76 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
LIE
1 - 1
MKD
8%
17%
75%
|
11 | 73 | 62 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
FRO
3 - 1
LIE
87%
9%
5%
|
11 | 57 | 46 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
LUX
3 - 3
LIE
80%
12%
8%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
LIE
0 - 0
NIR
5%
18%
78%
|
10 | 85 | 75 | +1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
ENG
1 - 3
AUS
73%
19%
8%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
ENG
2 - 2
MKD
92%
7%
1%
|
98 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
SVK
1 - 2
ENG
18%
24%
58%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
ENG
1 - 1
POR
57%
24%
19%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2002 |
ENG
1 - 2
BRA
29%
24%
47%
|
98 | 99 | 1 | 0 |