EC Qualifying Grupo J round 10

Liechtenstein vs Bosnia analysis

Liechtenstein Bosnia
34 ELO 84
13.7% Tilt 9.8%
10809º General ELO ranking 469º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
4.9%
Liechtenstein
13.3%
Draw
81.8%
Bosnia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.9%
Win probability
Liechtenstein
0.44
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
81.8%
Win probability
Bosnia
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.5%
0-3
13.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.7%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
-4
10.3%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Liechtenstein
-11%
-19%
Bosnia

ELO progression

Liechtenstein
Bosnia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Liechtenstein
Liechtenstein
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Nov. 2019
FIN
Finland
3 - 0
Liechtenstein
LIE
89%
10%
2%
34 82 48 0
15 Oct. 2019
LIE
Liechtenstein
0 - 5
Italy
ITA
6%
19%
75%
34 92 58 0
12 Oct. 2019
LIE
Liechtenstein
1 - 1
Armenia
ARM
5%
12%
83%
33 70 37 +1
08 Sep. 2019
GRC
Greece
1 - 1
Liechtenstein
LIE
85%
13%
2%
32 83 51 +1
05 Sep. 2019
BIH
Bosnia
5 - 0
Liechtenstein
LIE
90%
9%
2%
32 84 52 0

Matches

Bosnia
Bosnia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Nov. 2019
BIH
Bosnia
0 - 3
Italy
ITA
25%
25%
50%
85 92 7 0
15 Oct. 2019
GRC
Greece
2 - 1
Bosnia
BIH
37%
27%
36%
85 83 2 0
12 Oct. 2019
BIH
Bosnia
4 - 1
Finland
FIN
62%
22%
17%
84 81 3 +1
08 Sep. 2019
ARM
Armenia
4 - 2
Bosnia
BIH
25%
25%
50%
85 68 17 -1
05 Sep. 2019
BIH
Bosnia
5 - 0
Liechtenstein
LIE
90%
9%
2%
84 32 52 +1