Japan vs Turkmenistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
5.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
JPN
4 - 0
KGZ
85%
11%
3%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
JPN
1 - 1
VEN
66%
19%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
JPN
4 - 3
URU
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
JPN
3 - 0
PAN
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
JPN
3 - 0
CRC
56%
23%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Turkmenistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2018 |
AFG
0 - 2
TKM
18%
19%
63%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
BHR
4 - 0
TKM
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
TKM
2 - 1
TWN
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
TKM
2 - 1
SGP
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
SGP
1 - 1
TKM
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |