Japan vs Syria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
MMR
0 - 5
JPN
5%
15%
80%
|
90 | 36 | 54 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
PRK
0 - 3
JPN
9%
19%
71%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
JPN
1 - 0
PRK
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IRN
2 - 1
JPN
41%
24%
35%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
BHR
1 - 3
JPN
11%
18%
71%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
PRK
1 - 0
SYR
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
SYR
7 - 0
MMR
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
MMR
1 - 1
SYR
9%
17%
74%
|
69 | 35 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
IRN
1 - 1
SYR
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
SYR
1 - 0
IND
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |