Japan vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
JPN
2 - 2
SEN
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
COL
1 - 2
JPN
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
JPN
4 - 2
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
SUI
2 - 0
JPN
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
JPN
0 - 2
GHA
72%
18%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
POL
0 - 3
COL
40%
26%
34%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
POL
1 - 2
SEN
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
POL
4 - 0
LTU
79%
15%
6%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
POL
2 - 2
CHI
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
POL
3 - 2
KOR
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |