Japan vs Indonesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
21.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1970 |
THA
0 - 0
JPN
31%
22%
47%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1970 |
KOR
1 - 1
JPN
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1970 |
JPN
1 - 2
HKG
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1968 |
JPN
2 - 0
MEX
60%
19%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 1968 |
HUN
5 - 0
JPN
88%
8%
4%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1970 |
KOR
2 - 1
IDN
46%
22%
32%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1970 |
IDN
3 - 1
HKG
75%
14%
11%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 1970 |
SGP
1 - 3
IDN
33%
21%
46%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1969 |
KOR
1 - 0
IDN
45%
22%
33%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
IDN
3 - 0
LAO
79%
12%
9%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |