Italy vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1971 |
ITA
3 - 0
SWE
69%
19%
13%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
ITA
2 - 0
MEX
80%
13%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1971 |
SWE
0 - 0
ITA
47%
25%
28%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1971 |
IRL
1 - 2
ITA
25%
27%
48%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1971 |
ITA
1 - 2
ESP
72%
18%
11%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
AUT
6 - 0
IRL
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1971 |
AUT
1 - 0
SWE
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 1971 |
BRA
1 - 1
AUT
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1971 |
IRL
1 - 4
AUT
37%
24%
39%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1971 |
SWE
1 - 0
AUT
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |