Italy vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
6.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2006 |
CZE
0 - 2
ITA
36%
25%
40%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
ITA
1 - 1
USA
70%
19%
11%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2006 |
ITA
2 - 0
GHA
90%
9%
1%
|
98 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2006 |
ITA
0 - 0
UKR
76%
18%
6%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2006 |
SUI
1 - 1
ITA
24%
29%
48%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2006 |
CRO
2 - 2
AUS
57%
23%
20%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
BRA
2 - 0
AUS
90%
8%
3%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2006 |
AUS
3 - 1
JPN
35%
25%
40%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2006 |
LIE
1 - 3
AUS
9%
21%
70%
|
90 | 21 | 69 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
NED
1 - 1
AUS
74%
18%
8%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | +1 |