Italy vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
ENG
1 - 2
ITA
53%
24%
24%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
LUX
85%
12%
3%
|
92 | 40 | 52 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 0
IRL
64%
22%
14%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
11%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 2
NGA
71%
20%
10%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
URU
1 - 3
CRC
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
CRC
1 - 1
IRL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2014 |
CRC
1 - 3
JPN
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
CRC
2 - 1
PAR
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CRC
0 - 1
KOR
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |