Israel vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
24.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1981 |
NIR
1 - 0
ISR
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1981 |
ISR
4 - 1
POR
39%
29%
32%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1981 |
SCO
3 - 1
ISR
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1981 |
ISR
2 - 1
ROU
40%
29%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1981 |
ISR
0 - 1
SCO
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1983 |
SCO
2 - 0
URU
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
VEN
1 - 2
URU
33%
31%
35%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
CHI
2 - 0
URU
55%
26%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
URU
3 - 0
VEN
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1983 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |