Israel vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ISR
3 - 0
BIH
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
AND
1 - 4
ISR
8%
16%
77%
|
83 | 37 | 46 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
CYP
1 - 2
ISR
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
HND
2 - 4
ISR
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
MEX
3 - 0
ISR
68%
19%
12%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BEL
0 - 0
WAL
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
WAL
2 - 1
CYP
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
WAL
0 - 0
BIH
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
AND
1 - 2
WAL
11%
20%
70%
|
83 | 38 | 45 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
NED
2 - 0
WAL
84%
12%
4%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |