Israel vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
58.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
ISR
1 - 1
IRL
31%
28%
41%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
ISR
3 - 3
CRO
36%
28%
36%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
CYP
1 - 2
ISR
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
ISR
2 - 2
SUI
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
ISR
2 - 1
CYP
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
FRA
0 - 0
SUI
75%
17%
9%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
FRA
1 - 1
SWE
66%
21%
14%
|
99 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
FRA
0 - 0
POL
72%
18%
10%
|
100 | 91 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
CYP
0 - 2
FRA
15%
25%
61%
|
100 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
FRA
0 - 0
IRL
72%
18%
10%
|
100 | 93 | 7 | 0 |