Northern Ireland vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1973 |
CYP
1 - 0
NIR
43%
23%
34%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1972 |
BGR
3 - 0
NIR
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1972 |
WAL
0 - 0
NIR
47%
23%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1972 |
ENG
0 - 1
NIR
87%
10%
4%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1972 |
SCO
2 - 0
NIR
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1973 |
FRA
1 - 2
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1972 |
BRA
1 - 0
POR
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1972 |
POR
1 - 0
SUN
45%
28%
28%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1972 |
URU
1 - 1
POR
55%
25%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1972 |
ARG
1 - 3
POR
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |