Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
15.4%
5.6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
BLR
0 - 1
NIR
43%
29%
28%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
EST
1 - 2
NIR
32%
31%
37%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
NIR
2 - 1
BLR
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
NIR
2 - 0
EST
61%
23%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
NIR
1 - 2
AUT
25%
23%
51%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
UKR
1 - 0
LUX
77%
17%
6%
|
52 | 87 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
LTU
1 - 1
LUX
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
LUX
3 - 3
MAD
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
LUX
1 - 2
UKR
14%
23%
63%
|
52 | 87 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
LUX
2 - 1
LTU
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |