Northern Ireland vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
18.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
DEN
1 - 1
NIR
74%
18%
8%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2001 |
CZE
3 - 1
NIR
82%
13%
6%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
NIR
0 - 1
BGR
36%
28%
37%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
BGR
4 - 3
NIR
64%
22%
14%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
NIR
0 - 1
CZE
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
ISL
3 - 1
CZE
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
ISL
1 - 1
POL
21%
24%
55%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2001 |
ISL
1 - 1
BGR
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
ISL
3 - 0
MLT
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
MLT
1 - 4
ISL
21%
26%
53%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |