Northern Ireland vs Andorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.4%
5.2%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
5 - 1
NIR
89%
8%
3%
|
76 | 95 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
SCO
0 - 1
NIR
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ROU
1 - 1
NIR
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
NIR
2 - 0
DEN
10%
20%
71%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
FIN
4 - 0
NIR
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Andorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
5 - 0
AND
91%
7%
2%
|
39 | 95 | 56 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 0
AND
88%
9%
3%
|
39 | 73 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 1
AND
79%
16%
6%
|
39 | 79 | 40 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
AND
0 - 2
ISR
4%
12%
84%
|
39 | 79 | 40 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BLR
1 - 0
AND
82%
14%
4%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |