Iraq vs Catar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
COL
1 - 0
IRQ
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
RUS
2 - 0
IRQ
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
IRQ
3 - 2
OMA
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
IRQ
2 - 1
QAT
34%
26%
39%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
IRQ
5 - 0
YEM
85%
12%
3%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Catar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
QAT
1 - 1
RUS
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
QAT
1 - 2
KEN
76%
17%
8%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
PAN
4 - 0
QAT
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
MEX
0 - 1
QAT
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
QAT
1 - 1
HND
61%
22%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |