Iraq vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
57.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
IRQ
2 - 3
CHN
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
KSA
0 - 1
IRQ
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
SYR
0 - 1
IRQ
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
IRQ
0 - 1
SYR
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2010 |
KWT
2 - 2
IRQ
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
IRN
1 - 0
ANG
71%
19%
11%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
QAT
0 - 0
IRN
27%
27%
46%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
IRN
0 - 3
BRA
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 99 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
KWT
2 - 1
IRN
17%
21%
62%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
IRN
2 - 1
IRQ
71%
18%
12%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |