Asian Cup Last 16

Iraq vs Jordan analysis

Iraq Jordan
81 ELO 75
-14.6% Tilt -14.5%
324º General ELO ranking 684º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
53.8%
Iraq
24.3%
Draw
21.9%
Jordan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
Iraq
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.9%
Win probability
Jordan
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Iraq
+13%
+3%
Jordan

ELO progression

Iraq
Jordan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Iraq
Iraq
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jan. 2024
IRQ
Iraq
3 - 2
Vietnam
VIE
63%
21%
16%
81 63 18 0
19 Jan. 2024
IRQ
Iraq
2 - 1
Japan
JPN
13%
20%
67%
80 90 10 +1
15 Jan. 2024
IDN
Indonesia
1 - 3
Iraq
IRQ
16%
22%
62%
80 54 26 0
06 Jan. 2024
IRQ
Iraq
0 - 1
South Korea
KOR
21%
25%
54%
80 88 8 0
21 Nov. 2023
VIE
Vietnam
0 - 1
Iraq
IRQ
27%
27%
47%
80 66 14 0

Matches

Jordan
Jordan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 2024
JOR
Jordan
0 - 1
Bahrain
BHR
46%
26%
29%
74 72 2 0
20 Jan. 2024
JOR
Jordan
2 - 2
South Korea
KOR
13%
20%
66%
74 88 14 0
15 Jan. 2024
MAS
Malaysia
0 - 4
Jordan
JOR
22%
24%
54%
74 58 16 0
09 Jan. 2024
JPN
Japan
6 - 1
Jordan
JOR
86%
10%
4%
74 90 16 0
05 Jan. 2024
QAT
Catar
1 - 2
Jordan
JOR
68%
19%
13%
73 81 8 +1
X