England vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
ENG
7 - 0
AUT
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1973 |
ITA
2 - 0
ENG
52%
24%
24%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
SUN
1 - 2
ENG
42%
26%
32%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1973 |
POL
2 - 0
ENG
32%
26%
43%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1973 |
CSK
1 - 1
ENG
35%
26%
39%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1973 |
NED
1 - 1
POL
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
POL
3 - 0
WAL
79%
13%
7%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1973 |
BGR
0 - 2
POL
54%
24%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1973 |
USA
1 - 0
POL
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1973 |
USA
0 - 4
POL
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |