World Cup Primera Fase G3 round 1

Hungary vs El Salvador analysis

Hungary El Salvador
89 ELO 70
7.5% Tilt 6.8%
140º General ELO ranking 1744º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
88.1%
Hungary
8.3%
Draw
3.7%
El Salvador

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
Hungary
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
10%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
3.7%
Win probability
El Salvador
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hungary
+3%
-15%
El Salvador

ELO progression

Hungary
El Salvador
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hungary
Hungary
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 1982
HUN
Hungary
1 - 2
Peru
PER
82%
13%
5%
90 78 12 0
24 Mar. 1982
HUN
Hungary
2 - 3
Austria
AUT
69%
20%
11%
90 87 3 0
14 Feb. 1982
NZL
New Zealand
1 - 2
Hungary
HUN
11%
20%
69%
90 66 24 0
11 Feb. 1982
NZL
New Zealand
1 - 2
Hungary
HUN
12%
21%
67%
89 66 23 +1
18 Nov. 1981
ENG
England
1 - 0
Hungary
HUN
57%
24%
20%
90 91 1 -1

Matches

El Salvador
El Salvador
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 1982
HND
Honduras
1 - 1
El Salvador
SLV
69%
18%
13%
71 76 5 0
18 Apr. 1982
SLV
El Salvador
3 - 2
Honduras
HND
43%
23%
35%
70 77 7 +1
06 Jan. 1982
BOC
Boca Juniors
2 - 0
El Salvador
SLV
79%
14%
8%
70 83 13 0
26 Jul. 1981
SLV
El Salvador
4 - 0
Haiti
HTI
59%
20%
21%
69 70 1 +1
11 Jun. 1981
HTI
Haiti
0 - 0
El Salvador
SLV
53%
24%
24%
69 70 1 0