Hungary vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
4.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1967 |
AUT
1 - 3
HUN
29%
24%
47%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1967 |
DEN
0 - 2
HUN
18%
22%
60%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1967 |
HUN
2 - 1
NED
88%
8%
4%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
HUN
1 - 0
YUG
80%
12%
8%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
HUN
3 - 1
AUT
85%
10%
5%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1967 |
NED
1 - 0
DDR
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1967 |
DDR
5 - 0
GRC
65%
18%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1967 |
DEN
1 - 1
DDR
53%
22%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1967 |
SWE
0 - 1
DDR
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1967 |
DDR
4 - 3
NED
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |